Monday, September 21, 2009

Belatedly, Egypt Spots Flaws in Wiping Out Pigs

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/20/world/africa/20cairo.html?pagewanted=1

September 20, 2009

Belatedly, Egypt Spots Flaws in Wiping Out Pigs

CAIRO — It is unlikely anyone has ever come to this city and commented on how clean the streets are. But this litter-strewn metropolis is now wrestling with a garbage problem so severe it has managed to incite its weary residents and command the attention of the president.

“The problem is clear in the streets,” said Haitham Kamal, a spokesman for the Ministry of State for Environmental Affairs. “There is a strict and intensive effort now from the state to address this issue.”

But the crisis should not have come as a surprise.

When the government killed all the pigs in Egypt this spring — in what public health experts said was a misguided attempt to combat swine flu — it was warned the city would be overwhelmed with trash.

The pigs used to eat tons of organic waste. Now the pigs are gone and the rotting food piles up on the streets of middle-class neighborhoods like Heliopolis and in the poor streets of communities like Imbaba.

Ramadan Hediya, 35, who makes deliveries for a supermarket, lives in Madinat el Salam, a low-income community on the outskirts of Cairo.

“The whole area is trash,” Mr. Hediya said. “All the pathways are full of trash. When you open up your window to breathe, you find garbage heaps on the ground.”

What started out as an impulsive response to the swine flu threat has turned into a social, environmental and political problem for the Arab world’s most populous nation.

It has exposed the failings of a government where the power is concentrated at the top, where decisions are often carried out with little consideration for their consequences and where follow-up is often nonexistent, according to social commentators and government officials.

“The main problem in Egypt is follow-up,” said Sabir Abdel Aziz Galal, chief of the infectious disease department at the Ministry of Agriculture. “A decision is taken, there is follow-up for a period of time, but after that, they get busy with something else and forget about it. This is the case with everything.”

Speaking broadly, there are two systems for receiving services in Egypt: The government system and the do-it-yourself system. Instead of following the channels of bureaucracy, most people rely on an informal system of personal contacts and bribes to get a building permit, pass an inspection, get a driver’s license — or make a living.

“The straight and narrow path is just too bureaucratic and burdensome for the rich person, and for the poor, the formal system does not provide him with survival, it does not give him safety, security or meet his needs,” said Laila Iskandar Kamel, chairwoman of a community development organization in Cairo.

Cairo’s garbage collection belonged to the informal sector. The government hired multinational companies to collect the trash, and the companies decided to place bins around the city.

But they failed to understand the ethos of the community. People do not take their garbage out. They are accustomed to seeing someone collecting it from the door.

For more than half a century, those collectors were the zabaleen, a community of Egyptian Christians who live on the cliffs on the eastern edge of the city. They collected the trash, sold the recyclables and fed the organic waste to their pigs — which they then slaughtered and ate.

Killing all the pigs, all at once, “was the stupidest thing they ever did,” Ms. Kamel said, adding, “This is just one more example of poorly informed decision makers.”

When the swine flu fear first emerged, long before even one case was reported in Egypt, President Hosni Mubarak ordered that all the pigs be killed in order to prevent the spread of the disease.

When health officials worldwide said that the virus was not being passed by pigs, the Egyptian government said that the cull was no longer about the flu, but was about cleaning up the zabaleen’s crowded, filthy, neighborhood.

That was in May.

Today the streets of the zabaleen community are as packed with stinking trash and as clouded with flies as ever before. But the zabaleen have done exactly what they said they would do: they stopped taking care of most of the organic waste.

Instead they dump it wherever they can or, at best, pile it beside trash bins scattered around the city by the international companies that have struggled in vain to keep up with the trash.

“They killed the pigs, let them clean the city,” said Moussa Rateb, a former garbage collector and pig owner who lives in the community of the zabaleen. “Everything used to go to the pigs, now there are no pigs, so it goes to the administration.”

The recent trash problem was compounded when employees of one of the multinational companies — men and women in green uniforms with crude brooms dispatched around the city — stopped working in a dispute with the city.

The government says that the dispute has been resolved, but nothing has been done to repair the damage to the informal system that once had the zabaleen take Cairo’s trash home.

The garbage is only the latest example of the state’s struggling to meet the needs of its citizens, needs as basic as providing water, housing, health care and education.

The government announced last week that schools would not be opened until the first week of October to give the government time to prepare for a potential swine flu outbreak, a decision that could have been made anytime over the past three months, while schools were closed for summer break, critics said.

Officials in the Ministry of Health and other government ministries said they had not made this decision — and that they had counseled against pre-emptive school closings.

It appears to have been ordered by the presidency and carried out by the governors, who also ordered that all private schools, already in class, be shut down as well.

“We did not propose or call for postponing schools, so the reason is not with us,” said an official in the Ministry of Health who spoke on the condition of anonymity because the person was not authorized to speak to the news media.

The heads of three large governorates, or states, in Egypt announced Wednesday that their strategy for keeping schoolchildren safe was to take classes, which on average are crowded with more than 60 students, and split them in half and have children attend school only three days a week, another decision that was criticized. There have been more than 800 confirmed cases of H1N1 in Egypt, and two flu-related deaths.

“The state is troubled; as a result the system of decision making is disintegrating,” said Galal Amin, an economist, writer and social critic. “They are ill-considered decisions taken in a bit of a hurry, either because you’re trying to please the president or because you are a weak government that is anxious to please somebody.”

Cairo’s streets have always been busy with children and littered with trash.

Now, with the pigs gone, and the schools closed, they are even more so.

“The Egyptians are really in a mess,” Mr. Amin said.

Mona el-Naggar contributed reporting

Monday, May 18, 2009

U.S. health officials troubled by new flu pattern +++++

Slow news.  People are still going out in public places.  A lack of middle age people and older people getting the flu is interesting.  I still think there may be a connection with the smallpox vaccine which was discontinued for those born after around 1960, or something like that.  The theory that old people haven't been exposed is scotched by the Mexican experience where there is a lot of inter generational contact, especially in the smaller villages and cities.  Older Mexicans did get the smallpox vaccination.

Aldi Foods has had some good clearance sales.  One Aldi  cleared out the canned chicken in barbecue or lemon sauce at fifty cents a can and double sized kipper snacks (one of my favorites) at twenty-five cents a tin.  I bought them out.  My freezers are basically full from Aldi clearance meats and pizzas.  I have two generators, I should really get five or ten gallons of gasoline or at least get the cans out of the garage rafters.  

At Menards, I popped for 24 12 ounce bottles of water for $2.99.  Basically they are nice to keep a few in the car.  I don't mind warm water but if you leave filled bottle water in cars for a few summer days it could be unsafe to drink.  That said, if I remember when I'm driving I bring a freshly filled water bottle with me.  The bottled water pays for itself because I prefer warm bottled water over cold pop if I have to eat on the road.    Menards had a rebate on dry cat food again but it require a $10 non-rebate purchase.  I was just over the limit but $6 cat food rebate so the bottled water seemed a good hedge.

I got a new water heater. Nothing connected to this, just a good "price".   I might "hedge my bets" and keep the old unit in the basement.  Each water heater holds forty gallons that can be used for drinking and cooking in an emergency.  Not too worried here in Minnesota where we don't have earthquakes but if it gets bad I can drain, flush and refill the old hot water tank.

The postponed digital TV conversion is scheduled for mid June.  If the current flu is a "slow snowball" as the story below hints it should have a "head of steam" by mid June when the delayed digital TV switchover is scheduled to occur.  Of course, the "most vulnerable/non adaptors" still won't have adapted.  Something to watch.

That said, the scary story and link is below.





U.S. health officials troubled by new flu pattern

Mon May 18, 2009 4:12pm EDT

By Maggie FoxHealth and Science Editor

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The new influenza strain circulating around most of the United States is putting a worrying number of young adults and children into the hospital and hitting more schools than usual, U.S. health officials said on Monday.

The H1N1 swine flu virus killed a vice principal at a New York City school over the weekend and has spread to 48 states. While it appears to be mild, it is affecting a disproportionate number of children, teenagers and young adults.

This includes people needing hospitalization -- now up to 200, said Dr. Anne Schuchat of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

"That's very unusual, to have so many people under 20 to require hospitalization, and some of them in (intensive care units)," Schuchat told reporters in a telephone briefing.

"We are now experiencing levels of influenza-like illness that are higher than usual for this time of year," Schuchat added. "We are also seeing outbreaks in schools, which is extremely unusual for this time of year."

New York City Health Commissioner Dr. Thomas Frieden agreed with Schuchat.

"We're seeing increasing numbers of people going to emergency departments saying they have fever and flu, particularly young people in the 5 to 17 age group, " Frieden, who has been named by U.S. President Barack Obama as the new CDC director, told a news conference.

About half of all cases of influenza are being diagnosed as the new H1N1 strain, while the rest are influenza B, or the seasonal H1N1 and H3N2 strains. Flu season in the United States is usually almost over by May.

CDC officials say around 100,000 people are likely infected with the new flu strain in the United States and Schuchat said the 5,123 confirmed and probable cases and six deaths in the United States were "the tip of the iceberg."

MORE ILLNESS OVERALL

"We are seeing more reports of influenza-like illness from outpatient visits that we monitor than is typical for this time of year," Schuchat said.

Because doctors usually treat symptoms and only occasionally give flu tests to patients, the CDC must monitor reports of symptoms such as fever, cough and muscle aches to track flu activity. Some centers are doing actual influenza tests to confirm the patterns that are seen.

Influenza is a factor in 36,000 deaths a year in the United States and 250,000 to 500,000 deaths globally, the CDC says.

"Unlike the seasonal flu, we are seeing relatively few cases or hospitalizations in people over 65," Schuchat said. Usually flu kills the elderly and people with chronic diseases.

There is no evidence that a second, bacterial infection is worsening the H1N1 cases, Schuchat said.

When family members are questioned, it seems clear that children and teens are more prone to infection than older adults, Schuchat said. "People under 18 are more likely to have infections when another person in the family is infected," she said.

"One of our working hypotheses is that older adults may have some pre-existing protection against this virus due to their exposure long ago to some virus that may be distantly related," Schuchat said.

An alternative hypothesis is that it just has not had a chance to make its way into the older population yet.

(Editing by Julie Steenhuysen and Xavier Briand)

Saturday, May 9, 2009

Stores seem pretty well stocked

The Minnesota legislature is talking about increasing the tax on beer! I might need to stock up! An Aldi near me had clearance prices on some of my favorite items. Deluxe kipper (fish) snacks in sauces were marked down from something like $1.69 to twenty-five cents I bought them out, it must be at least fourty. Also they had chunk chicken in barbecue sauce or lemon pepper sauce. Ten ounce cans figure two standard tuna fish can size. Marked down from something like $2.00 to fifty cents. I bought them out, something like sixty cans total. I bought fifty or so cans at a different Aldi when marked down to one dollar a can. The label says a can is 250/300 calories total per can lemon/barbecue with 50/60 calories in each of the five servings in each can. A can is a good "meal foundation" for two people. With cooked pasta it is a bit "different" but not bad. With steamed or even canned potatos it it good and like gravy it works well over bread, an easy main dish.

At Aldi I noticed that the 12 ounce canned Mackerel fish are not selling well so I'm watching that I bought a few cans before and like them. Aldi, also had marked down some specialty pasta and turkey stuffing that didn't sell. Overall, I must have spent $45, mostly on canned goods. For now, look for bargains on canned goods, stock up and "rotate".

So far the "hybrid flu" seems mostly a "dust up". I believe it was a real threat, the "hybrid" is new. I talked someone into not meeting me at a bar that has a lot of Mexican legals and illegals at closing. The Mexicans are nice people, I never had any problems but it gets very crowded at bar closing. Fortunately I have networked broadband Internet in my house. My friend (hint: female) is watching a DVD, surfing the net and calling people in Peurto Rico for free on my majicjack.com phone and drinking my $8.69 a case Mountain Crest Beer That is more cost effective than the bar anyway.

The downside of canned goods is the salt content. Basically, a salt shaker lasts a year for me. It's nice for certain fresh fruits and vegetables but I rarely salt anything.

From http://anti-strib.com I couldn't find a link


Cue The Crickets...

To all of you on the left (and on the right to be fair) who were so bent out of shape about the Patriot Act, I have a question....

What is your thoughts about this? Is there any concern or consternation here??????

Swine Flu 'Pandemic' Martial Law Passes MA Senate

5-4-9

"While Massachusetts residents were sleeping, our Legislature rushed through a bill- in response to the recent "Swine flu" outbreak.

This bill has been on the shelf but (the) state government felt this was the perfect time to slip this bill through.

What is the big deal about the bill- S18? It gives the Governor power to authorize the deployment and use of force to distribute supplies and materials.

It gives local authorities the permission to enter private residences for investigation and to quarantine individuals.

Basically during any "emergency" our state can and will declare martial law; you lose your Constitutional rights.

Emphasis mine.

Now that the "Democrats" are in complete control, we are hearing more and more rumblings about legislation to strip away the rights of the American people. Whether it is the re-emergence of the Fairness Doctrine, revoking the press credentials of media reps that disagree with you, threats of siccing the White House Press Corp on businesses who don't agree with the President's plans, annulling the voting rights of legit voters by engaging in voter fraud or threatening life long government workers with legal action just because they did their job, the "Democratic" Party office holders have done more, in the past 100+ days to remove the civil rights of the American people than the writers of the Patriot Act ever dreamed.....

I'm curious to hear the response, but I won't be at all surprised to hear.....

Thursday, April 30, 2009

Some Wednesday shopping observations.

I went over to the Midway district in St. Paul.  At Menards in I saw several well dressed people checking out the dust masks.  I couldn't find any hand wipes there but an employee says they usually don't have many.  (Paper towels and windshield wiper fluid from a spray bottle or the car system makes a good hand disinfectant.  You might want to save those spare fast food napkins and stock up on windshield washer fluid if you find a good price.  I will be looking for a good price on a perhaps a case of six gallons of washer fluid.  The car as a hand wash liquid "dispenser" is very old but it might catch on.  If it does washer fluid might become scarce.)  

At the Midway Aldi all of the "essentials" were still in good supply.  I picked up a container of 80 "sanitising wipes" for $2.  Looks like they are designed for diaper changes but they will do the trick.  I'm not sure what effect summer heat will have if they are kept in a car trunk.  Something I was just thinking of are those individually packaged alcohol wipes.  I have had some in car glove compartments for years and they seem to stay moist.  I may keep an eye out for a good price on boxes of 100.)  Not a high priority.

In studying this the demographics of Aldi foods vary widely.  It occurred to me that I have never found marked down pork at the Midway store.  That has a lot of Vietnamese and Hmong customers and they like pork.  The Midway Aldi has had marked down beef from time to time.  Go figure!  

At the other extreme the Minneapolis Franklin Avenue Aldi has a large Somali clientele so that is a literal "porkfest" when it comes to markdowns.  I checked the Aldi price for dry milk.  $5 for enough to make two gallons.  They have nonfat milk for $2 per gallon and fresh is definitely better than reconstituted.  The dry milk is more of a stockpile supply.  Mostly, I love "skim milk" so if things go bad milk is something it would be hard to get along without.   From my past experience up to one third dry milk mixed with regular milk works out, especially if you make it a bit "rich" with a bit more milk powder.    Here is something I got off the internet.

"Our Mix'n Drink will keep its nutrition value for up to about two years if kept cool and dry, and the only vitamins that actually decrease over time are the vitamins A and D. These are not shelf-stable vitamins and are sensitive to heat and light. A good rule of thumb to follow is that the vitamins A and D will dissipate at a rate of about 20% every year if stored properly. The less heat and moisture the milk is exposed to, the better the vitamins will keep. A freezer could extend the shelf life, as long as the powder does not get moisture in it. If you had to put a time limit on the Mix'n Drink, for rotation purposes, I would date it at two years after the date of purchase."

Basically, you rotate stock.  One thing to consider is that I have a basement. I've been told that most houses in the US don't and even some new construction houses in Minnesota don't have basements.   It has a small root cellar room in the Southeast corner with storage shelves.  With the taller house on the south side this gets little sun,  I put a remote thermometer in there last year and even on the hottest summer day it has never reached 50 degrees Fahrenheit.   If I decide to get some milk power I will keep it there.  I will probably seal the unopened box up with a few plastic shopping bags and leave a note "Use in June 2010.".

This is all "preparedness 101" but the "discovery" can be interesting.  The basic idea is to stock up on the less perishable items you will use anyway, especially if you can get them on sale and "rotate" the stock.  It's some effort but it is empowering.  So far. I've only got burned on a two $6 24 packs of snack size cookies.  These got nasty after a year so I threw them out.  I have had few old canned goods that were bad.  If the top is bowed out throw it out and definitely cook thoroughly.  That said rotate and manage.

March and April were the "big spend" where I paid the total $2650 2009 property taxes on  my http://searhouse.com  Also paying winter utility bills real time that definitely "hurt".  The mortgage is paid off on my http://searshouse.com (no government bailout needed ).  I get my "cash flow" recharged Friday so I will do more in-depth stockpiling and chronically it.  More $8.69 a case Mountain Crest beer of course but I'm down to five rolls of toilet paper.  Postage stamps are going up so I have to decide how many hundred "forever stamps" to buy (I'll probably put the stamps into my will).  The Postal Service will be our lifeline in a pandemic.  I fully support them (buying forever stamps now helps them now but with a future cost to the USPS).

I'll chronicle my spending here after the first of the month.  I'm still thinking this out.  The official government source is http://www.ready.gov/  Worth reading but I consider it somewhat "lame".  I was a boy scout.  Our motto was "Be Prepared".

For anyone wondering, I have actually dealt with terrorists who tried to kill cops and have a "well dressed" neighborhood defense network including myself and a lot of law enforcement people on my block who are "hot to trot" and "well dressed".   I might consider having a meeting and giving all the "well dressed" attendees a case of Mountain Crest.   No actual threat but several late night visitors to my house were challenged by off duty police who were "well dressed".  Basically, don't even think about it.  I think we have the total "Dirty Harry VHS/DVD library and we "share".

Wednesday, April 29, 2009

World Health Organisation calls new strain of H1N1 "Mexican flu"


WHOs call new strain of H1N1 "Mexican flu"

Published: Wednesday 29 April 2009 17:32 UTC 
Last updated: Wednesday 29 April 2009 18:04 UTC
The World Health Organisation (WHO) has said that the most recent research on swine flu has shown that the virus is not caused by pigs. The disease is now being referred to as Mexican flu or "2009 H1N1 flu". The WHO has moved the pandemic alert from four to five, the second highest. The first case of what was called swine flu was reported in Mexico and its first fatality was confirmed there two weeks ago. 

The 23-month-old infant who died in the US state of Texas, in the first fatal case from the swine flu outbreak in the United States, was also Mexican. The child came from Mexico to Houston for medical treatment, officials said.

In Europe, new cases of swine flu have been confirmed in five countries. Germany has officially reported three cases, Austria one and Croatia has confirmed some people are infected with the virus. Earlier, Great Britain and Spain had reported cases of swine flu but some new cases have since been officially diagnosed.

There are multiple cases in Mexico and the United States; diagnoses have also been made in Canada, Costa Rica, New Zealand, and Israel. All those found to be suffering from the virus have recently been to Mexico. After further testing, Mexico lowered the official number of those killed by the virus from 20 to seven.

France says it will ask the European Union to ban all flights to Mexico in an attempt to prevent the virus from spreading. Brussels say that the European Commission does not have the authority to implement such a ban. Transport Commissioner Antonie Tajani said the EU should wait for the outcome of the health ministers' meeting in Luxembourg on Thursday before taking action that "would create panic…detrimental to the economy and tourism".

    Swine Flu Myths: Wash Your Hands, Eat the Bacon

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/30441225

    Good article, read if possible, here is an excerpt.  

    "You can get swine flu from eating pork, bacon or other pig products???

    FALSE, FALSE and FALSE! Memories of sick Thai picnickers are still fresh in many people’s minds from the bird-flu outbreak, so many people assume that with swine flu, you can catch it from eating pig products. Not true, say both the WHO and CDC:

    “Swine influenza has not been shown to be transmissible to people through eating properly handled and prepared pork (pig meat) or other products derived from pigs. The swine influenza virus is killed by cooking temperatures of 160°F/70°C corresponding to the general guidance for the preparation of pork and other meat,” the WHO reports on its Web site.

    Bacon lovers, rejoice!

    “I don't think anyone should ever be afraid of bacon,” said Megan Woo, creator of the food blog IHeartBacon.com. “Of all the things we do on a daily basis that are slowly killing us, bacon is the least of our worries.”

    "It is a scientific fact that you cannot catch swine flu from eating pork products," Lauer added. "[E]veryone should continue consuming their normal levels of bacon. I would even argue that everyone should increase their bacon consumption in solidarity. If we don’t, then swine flu wins."

    Well said, ladies. Now, let’s let America get back to doing what America does best: Wrapping things in bacon.

    U.S. officials want 'swine' out of flu name

    http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N28343516.htm

    U.S. officials want 'swine' out of flu name
    28 Apr 2009 21:31:42 GMT
    Source: Reuters
    WASHINGTON, April 28 (Reuters) - What's in a name? U.S. pork producers are finding that the name of the virus spreading from Mexico is affecting their business, prompting U.S. officials to argue for changing the name from swine flu.

    At a news briefing, Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano and Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack took pains to repeatedly refer to the flu as the "H1N1 virus."

    "This is not a food-borne illness, virus. It is not correct to refer to it as swine flu because really that's not what this is about," Vilsack said.

    Israel has already rejected the name swine flu, and opted to call it "Mexico flu." Jewish dietary laws forbid eating pork.

    The Paris-based World Organization for Animal Health also objected to the name, saying the virus contains avian and human components and no pig so far has been found ill with the disease.

    And there is growing sentiment in the farm sector to call it the North American virus -- although disease expert Anthony Fauci told a Senate hearing the "swine flu" designation reflected scientific naming protocol.

    For U.S. pork producers the swine flu name has hurt, forcing government officials into the position of stressing that American pork is safe to eat and that other countries should not ban imports.

    Pork, soybean and corn prices have fallen in the last two days, "and if this continues, obviously you have significant potential, which is why it's important to get this right," Vilsack said.

    At the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, there was also talk of stripping the "swine" from swine flu, which CDC acting director Richard Besser said was leading to the misapprehension that people can catch the disease from pork.

    "That's not helpful to pork producers. That's not helpful to people who eat pork. It's not helpful to people who are wondering, how can they get this infection," Besser told a briefing.

    (Reporting by Tabassum Zakaria; Editing by Patricia Zengerle)

    Tuesday, April 28, 2009

    KLA: Name Of Hybrid Flu Virus Inaccurate


    In a day or so http://hybridflu.info will also reach this blog.



    4/28/2009 10:40:00 AM 

    KLA: Name Of Hybrid Flu Virus Inaccurate

     

    According to the world organization for animal health (OIE), the Mexican influenza virus is a hybrid containing swine, avian and human components and should not be referred to as “swine flu.” OIE officials said no swine have been found ill with the disease to this point. 

     

    A network of federal veterinarians, state animal health officials and private veterinary practitioners regularly monitor U.S. swine for disease symptoms. To date, there are no reports an influenza virus is circulating in the U.S. swine herd. To guard against herd infection, the National Pork Producers Council has asked its members to intensify normal biosecurity procedures to prevent introduction of the disease. 

     

    Meanwhile, some international trading partners are tightening their borders to U.S. and Mexican pork. According to American Meat Institute CEO J. Patrick Boyle, these trade suspensions are based on “unfounded fear, not scientific facts.” Public health officials are reminding consumers pork is safe to eat. The flu virus is not transmitted by eating pork or pork products, therefore, there is no food safety issue related to this hybrid flu.

    Swine flu scare batters Minnesota's struggling pork industry

    http://www.topix.net/forum/source/twincities-pioneer-press/TQTBEO9P7BBMBTHIM#lastPost

    Swine flu scare batters state's struggling pork industry

    Minnesota's pork producers already were having a bad year. Then came swine flu. On Monday, the industry shuddered amid worries a Mexican swine flu outbreak might spread into a global panic - and take much of the hog industry down with it.

    Full Story: TwinCities.com   http://www.twincities.com/ci_12241161?nclick_check=1

     Read Comments

    Monday, April 27, 2009

    Bretbart.com challenges calling it "swine flu" since it has not been isolated in animals. Mexican flu seems logical.

    http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=CNG.8282347267271b64646e51f83dc4437f.8a1&show_article=1

    Money quotes: 

    "In an interview with AFP, OIE Director General Bernard Vallatdescribed the virus as a "cocktail" of four different strains."

    "The OIE noted that past epidemics of human influenza epidemics with animal origin had been named after their geographical origin, such as Spanish flu or Asian flu.

    "It would be logical to call this disease 'North American influenza'," it suggested."

    Monday afternoon report.

    This might be the first Internet epidemic.  I posted a http://birdflu.gov link on the header.  It goes to the government info on the pandemic and birdflu.gov is easier to remember and spell than "avian" or "pandemic".  http://www.drudgereport.com/ is also covering it well.  I had talk radio on assorted channels when I was driving around today.  A lot of chatter but not much misinformation.  

    At the stock market close the Dow is down under two-thirds of one percent.  Not bad considering everything.  

    The Aldi three pound rice supply was still good.  That is my benchmark.  I went out to the burbs to stock on on the $8.69 per case Mountain Crest Beer.   Suffice it to say I have enough of this "necessity" to ride out a quarantine .  This "Damn good beer" keeps well in a basement so I will probably get more this weekend.

    The Mountain Crest beer story has an odd Mexican angle.  Young Ravinder Minhas set out to market more affordable liquor in Canada.  He locked in the price of Tequila just before there was a huge shortage of the plant used to make Tequila.  (or maybe Jimmy Buffet greatly increased the demand for Tequila).  He then went on to purchase the second oldest continually operating brewery in the US in Monroe, Wisconsin, south of Madison.  A side effect of NAFTA was the opening up of the Canadian beer market.  Before this, Canadian beer had a basically fixed price of $25 to $30 per case so quality, image and advertising were heavily used.  Minhas does little advertising and relies on "word of mouth" and their website.  I consider Mountain Crest to be equal in taste to the bland beers like Budweiser but at half the cost.  When I go to one bar I frequent I drink Grain Belt tap.  It has more "hops" than most beers.  Two beer "tricks" are a drop of vanilla extract or a drop of lemon flavoring.  Artificial vanilla seems to work as well and it's cheap.

    I suspect that Minhas brewery won't be asking for a government bailout.  From the bio:  "Ravinder has a simple philosophy when it comes to running his companies, he likes to be hands on in many aspects and works on a zero debt mandate. He has no loans, partners, lines of credits or financing, he has been able to grow and sustain his business by re-investing profits and keeping low overheads."

    Anyway, back to the epidemic stuff.  I noticed I am down to five rolls of toilet paper.  This weekend I will stock up.  I will also monitor retail supplies as a indicator of public reaction.   

    Sunday shopping report.

    I went to the Franklin Av. Aldi late Sunday afternoon.  There seemed to be plenty of three pound bags of white rice, the "benchmark" item I am watching.  I picked up one bag.  Curiously, at Aldi Macaroni and cheese costs less per ounce than boxed Macaroni.  They are something like thirty-seven cents a box so I got three.  I've used year old Macaroni and cheese, at worst the "cheese powder" clumps a bit so you have to break it up.  That is probably heat.  From experience I found that the one "staple" that gets rancid with age are cookies.  I had some nine month old cookies, sealed snack size packages and they were rancid.  

    This got me thinking about regular emergency preparedness.  I haven't used a manual can opener in a year and a half.  I should have a few around here but I have to look for them.  I need to track down the service door keys to the (detached) garage.   I've used only the remote for the last year or so.  I have plenty of candles, batteries and even a few wind up led flashlights.

    The freezer is in the basement where it's always 45 and it has room.  One trick I have to get to is freezing some bottles of salt water for backup cooling of the freezer.  Basically save empty milk jugs, rinse them out and fill almost to the top with salt water.  Any salt will do, even sidewalk or water softener salt.  With a permanent magic marker clearly mark them "Salt water! Do not drink!"  Then put them in the freezer with the cap sealed.  The salt should reduce the freezing temperature to zero or maybe ten degrees Fahrenheit.  In a power outage the salt water in the jugs will gradually melt and absorb a lot of heat in the process.   This will help with the freezer during a power outage.  Have old blankets ready to cover the crest freezer and try no to open it during an outage.  The frozen salt water jug is a quick and easy trick.  

    On Friday, the first of the month I get my checking account recharged with the pension.  Staying proactive, I paid my total $2650 property tax for 2009 in March and April.  Even with tax refunds that "stung".  I try not to dip into savings but it's four days until the Friday. 

    At this point I am not really concerned about major utilities going down.  Unlike SARS, this seems treatable with proper medical treatment.  The key utility people should get high priority.   Also, it's Spring and electrical demand is low.  Added to that my Longfellow Neighborhood of Minneapolis has a rather robust electrical grid.  The high voltage lines run between Minnehaha and Hiawatha and the substation is at 39th And Hiawatha.  The local electric lines are in the alleys where they are very well protected against storms.  

    For now I gotta find the garage keys and manual can opener and think about a "beer run" to get six or eight cases of $8.69 per case Mountain Crest Beer from Top Value Liquor.

    Sunday, April 26, 2009

    First posting at my MexicanFlu.info

    First off, for the latest official government information on this out break (which I check and trust) go to http://birdflu.gov/

    That said, I may be wrong but I sense that this will be a serious epidemic.  I hope it isn't but the viral mix of swine and avian (bird) flu is "weird".  It's almost like it is engineered.  The Mexico City release might be very difficult to contain and it apparently has already spread to the US.  I spent something like $1.20 to register MexicanFlu.info at http://godaddy.com for a year.  I will link it to this blog.  The domain name is what was available and this did originate in Mexico.  No offense is meant against Hispanics.

    I hope this threat fizzles and this blog is a dud but I have a bad feeling.  I know a lot about epidemiology.  Beyond this knowledge I have several advantages.  I retired in December 2007 so if necessary I can "hunker down" if necessary though, with spring I would like to get out and bicycle.  I consider "bargain hunting" a sport, I especially like Aldi Food's markdowns.  I am something of a "packrat" and have a lot canned foods.  Also, Aldi tends to deeply discount meat and other frozen foods that don't sell.  I have two freezers full of them.  In the event of a power failure I have tow generators, one a 1KW and from Aldi a $200 2.6 KW generator that I have tested with an outside tank but never used.  Also, both freezers are in 45 degree basement, and I am developing strategies here.   

    For starters, if you have freezers the basement is best because of the lower temperature difference.  If you have freezer room fill empty containers like one gallon milk jugs with salt water and let them freeze in the freezer.  Any salt will do, mark the jug "salt water, do not drink" and add a skull and crossbones.  Salt lowers the freezing point of water so the frozen salt water will "cool" by melting at a temperature far below freezing.  This will help keep the freezer cold during a power outage.  During a power outage don't open the freezers and blankets over the top will help keep the contents cold.

    On the positive side some medicines like tama-flu seem to work so key utility workers should be first in line and this is not "personal contact" work.  Hopefully basic utilities will continue to work.  

    Tomorrow, I will go to Aldi and get three or four three pound bags of long grain white rice.  This will be my panic benchmark.  I'm also down to six rolls of toilet paper so I will probably "stock up".  This will be another indicator. I will watch the Aldi inventory on these items and report.

    Like I said, I hope this "epidemic" is a dud but I have a bad feeling about it.   I feel it will be hard to contain.    I hope that I am wrong.  For dynamics, I have adequate money in savings but I like to live by "cash flow".  Beer doesn't spoil and I would like to stockpile a large quantity of my favorite Mountain Crest http://www.damngoodbeer.ca/ which is $8.69 per case of 24 cans.  I'd like to get something like 25 cases and store in basement where it will keep well a very long time.  Should I risk waiting until Friday, the first of the month?  The cheap price is out in the suburbs so I usually get six cases and joke about "stocking up for bird flu".  If I get 25 cases they might actually believe it!

    This blog will tell the details.